The Validus View
18 August 2025Summary
As inflation protection becomes a growing priority for Canadian investors, many turned to U.S. TIPS after Real Return Bonds (RRBs) were discontinued. But this analysis from Validus shows that TIPS may not always do the job. Due to growing interest rate and structural differences between the U.S. and Canada, TIPS have significantly underperformed RRBs, highlighting the risks of using U.S. tools to manage Canadian inflation. This paper explains why Canadian investors should be cautious and presents a Canada-focused alternative.
Key Insights
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Canada and the U.S. are diverging both cyclically and structurally, affecting inflation and interest rate paths
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Long-term yield gaps between the two countries are at record highs
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U.S. TIPS may not accurately track Canadian inflation risk.
- Validus’ RRB Proxy Strategy provides a home-market solution better suited to Canadian conditions